As some comrades may know, I was on the frontline at the Norwich North by-election for three weeks from early July until polling day on Thursday. It was a unique, sometimes surreal, and overall highly enjoyable experience, despite the appalling result.
A by-election is a highly unusual political event. By-election campaigns receive disproportionate amounts of coverage, money and resources, and are incredibly intense experiences. The main parties tend to stampede the constituency with big beasts. The Tories put all MPs on a three-line whip to visit and campaign several times each. Most of the cabinet, including Alastair Darling, David Miliband, and Alan Johnson, visited, as did most of the Tory front bench. On a personal level, it was all rather eventful too. During this campaign I was insulted by Oliver Letwin, had a little verbal sparring with Simon Hughes, ended up on first name terms with Harriet Harman, had lunch with Angela Eagle, and chatted with Ed Balls. At one point I even had a rather interesting late-night karaoke session involving Gordon Brown’s special adviser, some alcohol and our staff. A BNP supporter set his dog on me (I’m pressing charges), and I was chased and shouted out by an entertaining array of headcases.
On a more serious note, our campaign suffered from numerous problems, any one of which would have been a huge blow to the campaign. In combination, they were fatal.
Firstly, even despite the effort we put into the campaign, the disparity in terms of resources and finances between us and the Tory Party was painfully obvious. They were putting out glossy, full-colour leaflets that had clearly been professionally designed and printed, while we put out leaflets on crap quality paper designed by one of our chaps printed on a risograph, a printing machine that only prints in two colours. For the first week I was there, I stayed in a complete and utter hovel that was infested with bed-bugs, because we couldn’t even afford proper accommodation – only when my ankle was eaten alive by the bugs was I moved out to better accommodation, thanks to our campaign manager Emilie, who did a good job in intolerably difficult circumstances.
Secondly, the Gibson affair hamstrung our operations from the start. Now, I am not going to defend the way the NEC treated Gibson – Gibson was singled out for punishment because he is on the left of the party. However, we should not martyr him too much – after all, what he did was wrong. The real issue was inconsistency of punishment. Whereas he was barred from standing again as the Labour candidate, people who did the same or worse – Blears for example – suffered no such indignity. However, once Gibson resigned, the issue should have been secondary to the question of whether Norwich should have a Labour or a Tory MP. Instead, for many this is not what happened. Much of the Norwich North CLP refused to campaign for Chris, our candidate. I know for a fact that some of them did not even vote Labour. Whatever we think of Gibson’s treatment at the hands of the NEC, this is absurd. These people’s stubborness and lack of pragmatism let in a Tory MP. If I were Chloe Smith, I would write a letter of thanks to each and every member of Norwich North CLP who sat on their arse rather than get out and campaign for Labour. As so often happens in the Labour Party, some of us forgot who the real enemy is. The only beneficary of this tendency is the Tory Party. Not only did the fallout from the Gibson affair attenuate our local activist base, it meant a lot of disgruntled Labour supporters refused to vote at all. All very well, but they now have a Tory MP, which none of them really wanted.
The third big obstacle was the shit state of the CLP even before the Gibson affair blew up in our faces. It was abundantly clear from our Voter ID data that no or little work had been done in the constituency for many years, with a few honourable exceptions. In supposedly safe Labour areas there were whole streets in which no canvassing had been done since 1994. I picked up casework that had been neglected due to complacency on the part of the local councillors. Very few of our councillors helped out in any significant way, and some actively made things difficult. However good a local MP Gibson was, he basically did no campaigning work at all, and this made an already difficult task even more tricky. I wouldn’t want to give the impression that no-one from the CLP did anything – this is not true, some comrades rallied round and were a great help. But they were in a minority.
However, in a more fundamental sense these issues were not the biggest problems. The biggest problem was the continuing unpopularity of the government, an unpopularity that is exacerbated by some government policies (refusing to exercise proper control over the banks despite nationalising them, for example) that we in the Labour movement must continue to make a principled stand against.
However, much nonsense has been spoken about the campaign, especially by David Cameron, who criticised our campaign for being duplicitious and negative. This is an absurd fallacy. I read every leaflet put out by every party, and until the last week our campaign was, almost without exception, positive. We campaigned on issues such as saving and building more Sure Start centres, tackling anti-social behaviour, extending 20 mph speed limit zones, continuing to invest in public services, and many other areas. It is true that in the last week we began to make more direct attacks on the Conservatives and their candidate. However, our attacks were largely substantiated, entirely reasonable, and personal only in the sense that we questioned the other candidate’s political record and judgement. They also constituted only a small proportion of our campaign.
We attacked the Tory candidate on a number of grounds. Firstly, we argued, with some justification, that she is a career politician (she has worked for several Tory MPs in the past). Secondly, we pointed out that Norwich was her second choice (she previously went for the selection in Ipswich, Norwich’s main local footballing rivals). Thirdly, we attacked her for being afraid of debate (she pulled out of several hustings debates during the campaign). Where are the lies here Mr Cameron?
In terms of Tory Party policy, Cameron claimed that it is dishonest for us to claim that the Tory Party would cut things like the Winter Fuel Allowance, free bus passes, Sure Start centres etc. We actually
attacked Tory policy on the grounds that, given their commitment to slash public spending, their refusal to outline exactly what they would cut, their previous record of cutting services for the vulnerable and poor, and their record of voting against Labour policies designed to help pensioners and families, that many vital benefits and services are likely to under risk under a Tory government. This is entirely reasonable. The Tory Party is currently attempting to simultaneously claim that it will cut our national debt, but not cut spending on services and benefits. The Tory Party can’t plausibly claim the political credit arising from its supposed fiscal responsibility without suffering the political fallout of either making unpopular cuts or raising taxes, yet this is exactly what it is trying to do. Our campaign aimed at pointing this out. This is not dishonest Mr Cameron, it is merely subjecting your policies to scrutiny, something which the press is currently not doing.
Some of the Tories, such as Theresa May, claimed that one particular leaflet we put out, an attack on the Tory candidate’s support for repealing the fox-hunting ban that ran with the somewhat ill-advised ‘Vote Labour or the Fox gets it’ tag, was a reversion to the ‘class war’ tactics of the Crewe and Nantwich by-election. I do not understand this at all. I didn’t like the leaflet - I thought it concentrated on an issue that is really trivial given the problems currently facing the country - but cannot for the life of me understand how this was a class war tactic. It is an issue to do with animal cruelty. I personally hate the aristocracy and all it stands for and took a great deal of pleasure in attacking one of their pursuits, but our leaflet made no reference to class, and I would have supported the hunting ban, as most Labour MPs would have, whatever social class participated in this cruel practice. Cock-fighting was a more working class pursuit, but when it was banned in the 19th century was it seen as a class issue? Of course not. Bloodsports are just cruel and wrong, whoever participates in them.
The reality of the by-election was that the villains of the piece were, as ever, the Liberal Democrats, whose hideous candidate April Pond ran a scurrilous, nasty, unrelentingly negative campaign filled with lies and distortions. Almost every Lib Dem leaflet was filled with borderline personal attacks on the Green, the Tory and our candidate. The Lib Dems attacked our candidate for being a ‘career politician’, even though he’s never had a job in politics, and only ever stood once before for political office. They suggested that that he was a ‘Westminster insider’ on the basis that he lives ‘near’ Westminster, by which logic presumably a single mum working a minimum wage job in Washington D.C. is a ‘Washington insider’.
Worst of all, they lied and lied about the nature of the election, constantly trying to argue that it was a ‘2 horse race’ between them and the Tory, despite the fact that they were third last election, they’ve been losing ground in Norwich for years now, and the previous MP was Labour. On polling day and just before they put out leaflets containing a ‘poll’ that put them second behind the Tories in Norwich North. Look at the details of the ‘poll’ and it’s clear that it wasn’t an independent poll – in fact, it’s not really clear what data it was based on. This is because it was obviously a completely made up poll, or one produced by the Lib Dems by highly selective interpretation of some of their own data, which doesn’t really differ from being made up at all – I could take some Labour voter ID, ignore all the people from the sample who said that they’d vote Tory, and claim that it’s a two horse race between us and the Lib Dem. It would be a made up poll by any other name. The only independent poll in Norwich North, done by ICM, showed that it was a clear fight between us and the Tory. Unfortunately, some people believed Lib Dem lies, and voted Lib Dem believing that it would keep out the Tory. This merely split the real, Labour anti-Tory vote and made it easier for the Tories. Shame on you April Pond and the Lib Dems.
If we had wanted to (and we didn’t because we didn’t fight a negative, Lib Dem style campaign), we could have pointed out a few things about April Pond. Firstly, contrary to her own assertions on her leaflets, April Pond is not a successful businesswoman. In fact, most of her previous businesses have gone bankrupt. Secondly, the kids she festooned over her leaflets were the children not of her current husband, as she claims, but of a previous husband that she divorced and did not mention. Thirdly, she owns a moat (!). Fourthly, Norwich North was her second choice – she was previously the candidate for another Norfolk seat. Fifthly, she is widely despised even among local Lib Dems – she has had vicious spats with local Lib Dem councillors, and several Lib Dem activists whom we spoke to admitted that their campaign was too negative and that April Pond is horrible. Although I disagree with the Tories more ideologically, at least the Tories ran a largely positive and largely clean campaign. April Pond refused to sign the clean campaign pledges agreed to by the other candidates. I hope that we never see her rear her ugly head again.
Overall, this campaign showed the real danger in the next election. That danger is not from a huge spurt of enthusiasm for the Tory Party. The Tory vote in real terms went slightly down. The only reason that the Tory vote increased as a percentage of the total was because turn-out plummeted. The story of the by-election was that the Tory vote pretty much held firm at its 2005 levels, whereas our vote collapsed. This collapse can partially be explained by an increased UKIP and Green vote, but the bulk of it can be explained by Labour voters disgruntled about Gibson and the government in general merely staying at home. The fall in the Labour vote can largely be accounted for by the fall in turn-out. This implies that the next election will be won and lost on turn-out. If Labour supporters or anti-Tory voters stay at home or turn to fringe parties, then the Tories will get in comfortably, not due to any enthusiasm for them, but due to disillusion about the Labour government. Our job from now until May 2010 is to persuade people that, whatever doubts may linger, the election is a straight choice between us and a Conservative Party that is as heartless, right-wing and insensitive as ever, and that we provide a more just and hopeful alternative.